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I guess I am missing something, but if this is possible, the only risk remains the market risk – which is not quite a "risk", considering this case.
What do I mean is this:

Take long position while on (margin). Do this about a until the expiration date or hedge, so that to eliminate the market risk(price movements). When the contract comes into power and your long position is open – then demand a of the goods. It’s obvious from that point that if for example you have bought in margin 10:1 your profit is more than obvious.
I was thinking for similar case about traditional stocks, , options, spots, swaps – but among such instruments "margin" is always a credit, and not a "deposit on ".
Another thing I noticed is that 90% of the brokers don’t engage into physical delivery. Which means that even if my point is right, then one should find a serious futures broker( or pay 500k for membership at CBOT() + all the ).
Also, I am not sure if the will allow you to hedge in case when you intent to keep your position + I am not sure if they won’t require some ridiculous proofs that you are ready to handle the delivery(i.e. pay insurance + ).
But in all , I don’t care of physical goods, buying gold/fx futures will be fine. After all, for 2 years studying economics the only thing I have learned is that the only goal of the trader must be: making money, no matter if the party loses everything(…a more fun note for the weekend – though I am 100% serious saying this :) .

Well, I am even not intending to keep the question open for if there is some truth in it…but…

Thanks

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1 Answers



  1. naaner on Aug 21, 2010

    I’m not sure how you interpret what you mean when you say that you are going to make a guarenteed profit. How are you making a profit when you buy right before expiration? You leverage up with a margin account but if the price does not go up by expiration you are not going to make a profit (regardless of delivery charges or market timing).

    There is not guarenteed profit that way otherwise other people who can take delivery would be doing it all the time!


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